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Airbnb raises violent crime rates in cities as residents are pushed out

1 hour ago

Created a post 49 points @privateprofile

Airbnb raises violent crime rates in cities as residents are pushed out

@11thEarlOfMar 6 minutes

Replying to @privateprofile 🗣

This was recently discussed on HN:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27859115

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@LatteLazy 34 minutes

Researchers find correlation assume causation...

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@handmodel 25 minutes

The article doesn't mention it - and I can't find it anywhere - but in any neighborhood what is the highest proportion of units that are short-term rentals. Five percent? Ten percent in the super touristy areas? I have no idea and even before the other flaws in the study I am skeptical than anything short of 20% would make an impact on any major attribute of an area.

I see one stat in the paper that "40% of buildings had airbnb listings in some tracts" but if the buildings had 10 units in them each this still may mean a relatively small number of total listings were from Airbnbs. In fact, even in Boston there are some tracts where I suppose that the average building must have 30+ units which would meant that if 60% of buildings had no listing the total percentage of listings that are Airbnbs is relatively small.

>higher levels of violent crime did not appear immediately after Airbnb listings became available to tourists, but rather developed over the course of several years, the researchers said.

Alternative theory. Every area had some Airbnbs. In neighborhoods that were being wealthier/more popular/had more jobs decided it was easier to just do long-term rentals. In areas where landlords had trouble renting them out to anyone long-term (because locals know if a neighborhood is nice or not) they turned more units into Airbnbs because outsiders don't know/don't care.

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@timwaagh 24 minutes

Maybe criminals like staying at Airbnb. They have the cash after all and Airbnb can easily be used to hide ones identity.

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@user3939382 23 minutes

Sounds like good material for this website: https://tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

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